AI Stock Stars of 2024 and What They Signal for 2025

Date:
February 28, 2025
Category:
AI in Business
Corporate Innovation
AI Transformation

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. We are not a Vermögensverwalter (asset manager) and do not provide professional financial guidance

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2024 will be remembered as the year artificial intelligence (AI) truly took Wall Street by storm. What started as hype in 2023 became reality in 2024: companies that harnessed AI saw their stocks skyrocket, and “AI” was the buzzword on nearly every earnings call. In fact, of the five top-performing stocks in the Russell 1000 index, three owed their meteoric rise to AI-driven success. However, many of these stocks also experienced sharp declines as market exuberance cooled. This blog post examines which AI-focused businesses delivered the highest stock returns in 2024, the key drivers behind their growth, their subsequent corrections, and how investors can apply those lessons to spot the next AI winners in 2025.

2024’s Top AI Stock Performers and Their Stunning Reversals

Several AI-centered companies dazzled investors with triple- or even quadruple-digit percentage gains in 2024. However, as valuations stretched and profit-taking set in, many of these stocks faced substantial pullbacks heading into 2025.

SoundHoundAI (SOUN): A Wild Ride in Voice AI

One of 2024’s best-performing stocks, SoundHoundAI, soared +836% as investors poured into voice AI technology. The company’s revenue growth (up 89% year-over-year) and customer base diversification added legitimacy to the rally. Yet, SoundHound saw a 50%decline from its late-2024 peak, as concerns over competition and profitability dampened enthusiasm. For 2025, the company must prove that its AI-powered speech technology is a sustainable business rather than a speculative bet.

AppLovin(APP): AI-Powered Ad Boom Faces Scrutiny

AppLovin posted a staggering +740% gain in 2024, leveraging AI models to optimize advertising efficiency, driving a 66% surge in ad revenue and tripling its profit. However, the stock later declined by 30%-40% as skepticism grew over AI-driven ad revenues and short sellers raised concerns about sustainability. Investors in 2025 must determine whether its AI-fueled growth is a long-term trend or simply a cyclical boost.

PalantirTechnologies (PLTR): The AI Defense Play Hits Volatility

Palantir surged +340% in 2024, riding theAI wave and investor enthusiasm for its government and commercial AI-powered analytics. However, Palantir fell 30% from its peak in early 2025 after its CEO sold a large portion of shares, and concerns emerged about potential defense budget cuts. For Palantir to sustain its AI valuation, it must accelerate its commercial expansion beyond government contracts and prove continued demand for its AI-driven analytics.

MicroStrategy(MSTR): The Bitcoin-AI Connection Unravels

MicroStrategy’s stock skyrocketed +359% in2024, largely fueled by Bitcoin’s rise. However, as Bitcoin retraced some of its gains, MicroStrategy saw a subsequent 40% correction, underscoring the speculative nature of its AI and cryptocurrency link. While the company remains a key AI-adjacent player, 2025 will test whether its AI-driven analytics business can stand on its own or if it remains a Bitcoin proxy.

Nvidia(NVDA): The AI Titan Faces a New Challenge

If any company defined the AI market boom, it was Nvidia, whose AI chips powered nearly every major AI breakthrough of the year. Nvidia’s 171% stock rally in 2024 made it the top AI infrastructure play, responsible for over 20% of the S&P 500’s total return. However, the company faced a sharp correction after the emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese AI startup that introduced a hyper-efficient AI model trained at a fraction of Nvidia’s usual hardware costs.

DeepSeek: The Disruptor That Shook AI Investments

In January 2025, DeepSeek unveiled an AI model that matched top-tier AI systems but was trained using only $6 million worth of GPUs, compared to the hundreds of millions traditionally required. This raised concerns about whether AI’s future growth would require as many of Nvidia’s high-end GPUs as previously assumed. The market reaction was swift: Nvidia’s stock plummeted 17% in one day, wiping out $593billion in market value, the single largest one-day loss in U.S. history.

While Nvidia argued that AI expansion will still increase overall GPU demand, DeepSeek’s model suggests a shift in AI infrastructure needs. If DeepSeek’s approach proves scalable, it could shift the AI investment paradigm from hardware dependence to algorithmic breakthroughs.

WhatDrove Their Explosive Growth?

Several common catalysts powered these stocks’ eye-popping performance:

- Tangible AI Breakthroughs and Revenue Growth: The biggest 2024 winners paired AI buzz with real financial results. SoundHound’s near-tenfold rise was underpinned by dramatic revenue growth (almost doubling year-on-year) and new customer wins. Palantir and AppLovin likewise showed double- or triple-digit improvements in sales or profits as their AI innovations paid off. Investors rewarded companies that translated AI into dollars.

- AI Hype and Investor Enthusiasm: Even so, excitement often ran ahead of fundamentals. The number of companies mentioning “AI” on earnings calls kept rising in 2024, and investors were eager to buy anything AI-adjacent. This enthusiasm inflated valuations; for example, Palantir ended 2024 trading at an eye-watering 143 times forward earnings. High valuation reflect confidence in future AI growth but also set the stage for volatility if expectations aren’t met.

- Catalysts, Partnerships, and Policy Tailwinds: Big news events gave extra fuel to certain stocks. Palantir’s inclusion in major stock indices brought in new institutional buyers. The U.S. election implied more government AI spending (benefiting firms like Palantir), and optimism for crypto policies boosted MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin bet. Microsoft’s nuclear plant investment for AI data centers signaled that even utilities like Vistra or Constellation Energy could benefit from AI demand.

- “Picks and Shovels” Leadership: As seen in past gold rushes, those selling the tools often prosper most. Nvidia and Broadcom, selling chips and hardware enabling AI, enjoyed huge orders and backlogs in 2024. Companies enabling AI adoption (cloud providers, chip equipment makers, data center builders) became investor darlings.

The Road Ahead: AI Investing in 2025 and Beyond

As 2025 unfolds, investors should focus on three key takeaways from AI’s 2024 market boom and bust:

1. AI Efficiency is Now as Important as AI Scale – The assumption that bigger, more expensive AI models would dominate is now under review. DeepSeek’s efficiency-driven breakthrough suggests that companies optimizing AI models could become as valuable as those building bigger datasets and more powerful chips.

2. AI Hardware Players Must Adapt – Nvidia remains dominant, but competition is growing. Alternative AI computing solutions (including Chinese AI chips) could threaten its market share. Investors should watch how Nvidia diversifies into AI software and cloud services to counterbalance potential shifts in AI infrastructure spending.

3. AI Stocks Will Be More Selective – In 2024, almost any company mentioning “AI” saw a valuation boost. That won’t be the case in 2025. Investors will reward companies demonstrating real AI-driven revenue growth rather than speculative adoption claims.

Final Thoughts

The AI stock market rollercoaster of 2024 delivered exhilarating gains and painful corrections. While AI remains the most transformative technology of our time, the industry is entering a more mature, results-driven phase in 2025. The lessons of last year are clear: AI is here to stay, but investors must now separate real value from market exuberance. 

Author:
Dr. Peter Henssen
Co-Founder & Managing Partner
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